IGESSIGESS (Institute for Global Economics and Social Sciences)
ECN200CA（経済学 / Economics 200）Demography BDemography B
菅 幹雄Mikio SUGA
授業コードなどClass code etc
| 学部・研究科Faculty/Graduate school | IGESSIGESS (Institute for Global Economics and Social Sciences) |
| 添付ファイル名Attached documents | |
| 年度Year | 2021 |
| 授業コードClass code | K6748 |
| 旧授業コードPrevious Class code | |
| 旧科目名Previous Class title | |
| 開講時期Term | 秋学期授業/Fall |
| 曜日・時限Day/Period | 木3/Thu.3 |
| 科目種別Class Type | |
| キャンパスCampus | 多摩 |
| 教室名称Classroom name | |
| 配当年次Grade | 2～4 |
| 単位数Credit(s) | 2 |
| 備考（履修条件等）Notes | |
| 他学部公開科目Open Program | |
| 他学部公開（履修条件等）Open Program (Notes) | |
| グローバル・オープン科目Global Open Program | ○ |
| 成績優秀者の他学部科目履修制度対象Interdepartmental class taking system for Academic Achievers | ○ |
| 成績優秀者の他学部科目履修（履修条件等）Interdepartmental class taking system for Academic Achievers (Notes) | |
| 実務経験のある教員による授業科目Class taught by instructors with practical experience | |
| SDGsCPSDGs CP | |
| アーバンデザインCPUrban Design CP | |
| ダイバーシティCPDiversity CP | |
| 未来教室CPLearning for the Future CP | |
| カーボンニュートラルCPCarbon Neutral CP | |
| 千代田コンソ単位互換提供（他大学向け）Chiyoda Campus Consortium | |
| カテゴリーCategory |
Advanced Courses／専門科目 Disciplinary Courses／IGESS科目 Ⅱ. Global Economy |
| 科目主催学部Faculty Sponsored Department | Economics |
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授業の概要と目的（何を学ぶか）Outline and objectives
An introductory course in demographic methods, teaching how demographers measure population growth, mortality, fertility, marriage, and age structure.
到達目標Goal
1.Understand fertility rate
2.Understand and be able to conduct population projection
3.Understand stable population model
授業で使用する言語Default language used in class
英語 / English
授業の進め方と方法Method(s)（学期の途中で変更になる場合には、別途提示します。 /If the Method(s) is changed, we will announce the details of any changes. ）
Lectures will be conducted on using Zoom. Worksheets are delivered in the lecture for better understanding and student should calculate and fill it in. After the submission deadline of worksheet, the correct answer will be feedbacked.
アクティブラーニング（グループディスカッション、ディベート等）の実施Active learning in class (Group discussion, Debate.etc.)
なし / No
フィールドワーク（学外での実習等）の実施Fieldwork in class
なし / No
授業計画Schedule
※各回の授業形態は予定です。教員の指示に従ってください。
1：Review of a Basic Period Life Table
Review of a Basic Period Life Table
2：Multiple Decrement Processes(1)
Multiple Decrement Tables for a Periods
3：Multiple Decrement Processes(2)
Associated Single Decrement Life Tables from Period Data
4：Fertility Rates(1)
Period Fertility Rates
5：Fertility Rates(2)
Cohort Fertility,Reproduction Measures
6：Population Projection(1)
Population projection without immigration
7：Population Projection(2)
Projection and Forecasts, Population Projection Methodology, The Cohort Component Methods
8：Population Projection(3)
Cohort Component Methods
9：The Stable Population Model(1)
Review of Stationary Population Model
10：The Stable Population Model(2)
A Simplified Example of a Stable Population
11：The Stable Population Model(3)
Lotka's Demonstration of Conditions Producing a Stable Population
12：The Stable Population Model(4)
Intrinsic Growth Rate
13：The Stable Population Model(5)
Momentum of Population Growth
14：Summing Up
Summing Up
授業時間外の学習（準備学習・復習・宿題等）Work to be done outside of class (preparation, etc.)
Look at homepages related to demographic statistics
Preparation 2 hours, review 2 hours, a total of 4 hours.
テキスト（教科書）Textbooks
Samuel Preston, Patrick Heuveline, Michel Guillot, Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes, Wiley,4313 JPY
参考書References
Nicolas Bacaër,A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics,Springer, 5176 JPY
成績評価の方法と基準Grading criteria
Worksheets 100%
学生の意見等からの気づきChanges following student comments
Upload the answer of worksheets as soon as possible.
学生が準備すべき機器他Equipment student needs to prepare
calculator